pwny Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 17 minutes ago, The BILLievers said: Lol. Jag fans talking down to Bills fans all week how the jags are better in every category and only chance is if jags poop the bed. You guys are the jags not the patriots just chill out. I didn’t realize posting stats and then repeatedly saying they are just context and won’t win the game was talking down. I’ve now had to make at least 15 posts this week saying that the stats aren’t some omnipotent predictor because people are getting upset that someone would dare to break down context for a matchup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pwny Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 I welcome anyone who would like to come to the Jags forum for the GDT. We’re hoping to hit 100 pages today, so any insight into the game would be very much appreciated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gopherwrestler Posted January 7, 2018 Author Share Posted January 7, 2018 I'm excited for this game. First time I actually get to watch a full game of the Jags defense this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BleedTheClock Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 Jax wins big. Tyrod Taylor plays so horribly that some Bills fans actually poop in their pants watching the game live. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hunter2_1 Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 14 hours ago, iPwn said: Jags point differential: 149 Bills point differential: minus-57 Jags expected Pythagorean wins: 11.8 Bills expected Pythagorean wins: 6.4 Over the course of the season, the Jags were better in all of the following. Offense: Points per game Yards per game Yards per play Pass yards Yards per attempt Yards per completion Passer rating Sacks Sack percentage Rush yards Yards per rush Red zone scoring percentage First downs Time of possession Punt % Defense: Points Yards Yards per play Pass yards Yards per pass Yards per completion Passer rating Interceptions Sacks Sack percentage Rush yards Yards per rush Yards per attempt Fumbles forced Third down conversion Red zone scoring percentage First downs 3 and outs Punt % From what I found, the Bills were better at Offense: 3rd down conversion Interceptions Fumbles Passer rating (Tyrod only) 3 and outs Defense: Nothing The Jaguars have the 8th overall DVOA, and the Bills the 21st. This has the Jaguars still with the #1 defense, paired with the #16 offense. The Bills sit 17th and 26th, respectively. If you use weighted, to show that the Bills were totally playing better football after they figured things out post-Dareus the Jags have the 10th rated DVOA, whereas the Bills actually have the 28th ranked weighted DVOA. Bills Run defense over the season: In the first 7 games (With Dareus): 161 rushes, 561 yards, 3.48 YPC 3 game skid: 124 carries, 648 yards, 5.14 YPC Final 6: 181 carries, 785 yards, 4.34 YPC The Jaguars are the most efficient team in football at getting after the passer, and the third best in the league at stopping a team at or behind the LOS. The Bills offense is third worst in giving up sacks and last in the league at being stopped at or behind the LOS. Good luck trying to get anything over with Marshawn lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AZ_Eaglesfan Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 I expect a sound Jags win today. But I expected a sound Chiefs win yesterday as well, so who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hunter2_1 Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 13 hours ago, .Buzz said: It's been like this all week on here and social media. Who would have thought with two franchises who haven't had an ounce of success in a decade+. I would have. The pair of your fan bases have been on DEFCON since you realised you're both good teams. Lol. Enjoy. Have a good game! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rodjahs12 Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 Taylor is either going to fall flat on his face or have the game of his life today. I see zero potential for anything in between Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeeEvans Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 1 minute ago, Rodjahs12 said: Taylor is either going to fall flat on his face or have the game of his life today. I see zero potential for anything in between The game life is still not overly impressive. We need to use his legs and make the Jags think or that defense will completely dominate us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sasquatch Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 Can the Jags cover the spread? 8.5 points is quite a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
.Buzz Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 6 minutes ago, AZ_Eaglesfan said: I expect a sound Jags win today. But I expected a sound Chiefs win yesterday as well, so who knows. Don't do that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JiffyJag Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 legit pretty sure Bill Cowher is still bitter about the various times we beat him in our infancy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AZ_Eaglesfan Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, .Buzz said: Don't do that... It is the NFL anything can happen. Both better teams lost yesterday, only thing you can do is take care of business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmart128 Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 Lol at Cowher... That was awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeeEvans Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 14 minutes ago, BleedTheClock said: Jax wins big. Tyrod Taylor plays so horribly that some Bills fans actually poop in their pants watching the game live. We watched Tyrod throw for 86 yds in a game. If that doesn't do it I don't anything will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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