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Notable Stats and Observations


Hunter2_1

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On 11/27/2019 at 7:12 AM, LieutenantGains said:

You can't just look at PPD in a vacuum since the league has shifted towards offense so much

 

Standard deviations from average PPD

 

2007 Patriots - 3.30

1998 Vikings - 2.66

2000 Rams - 2.61

2016 Falcons - 2.58

2018 Chiefs - 2.52

2011 Packers - 2.49

2018 Saints - 2.44

 

I can't be bothered to do anymore right now, but thats the general gist of it. And if you want to do it by ranked as a multiple of the league average at the time, the 2007 Patriots were 86.5% above league average and the closest I can find to them is the 1998 Vikings and 2000 Rams who were in the low 70's. 

I don’t know about league average. However the gap between the first and second best OSE for the 1998 Vikings was 8.3% points and the 07 Patriots to the Colts was 8.8% points. Currently the Chiefs are in second place to the Ravens and are at 10.1% difference. I hadn’t calculate the PPD difference. As I think OSE is a better indicator of just how unstoppable an offense is overall.

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On 11/27/2019 at 10:22 AM, Split the Sticks said:

yup. but it's fair to mention the pats set that record in a 14 game schedule. The did it all off the back of HoF-er Hog Hannah 

This is incorrect. The NFL switched to a 16 game format for the first time that season. That team thus averaged 197.8 yards/game.

https://www.patriots.com/news/a-record-in-no-rush-to-be-broken-268786

The Ravens are currently averaging 210.5 yards per game. The team to get over 3000 yards rushing with over a 200 yards per game average were the 1973 Bills. They average 220.5 yards/game in a 14 game season. No team in NFL history has ever averaged over 200 rushing yards in a 16 game season, likely because sustaining that type of explosive rushing pace is incredibly difficult to do. Multiple teams that averaged over 200 rushing yards prior to 1978, could not achieve the same result afterwards.

For the Ravens they are currently on pace, but it will be a difficult task as they still have games against the 49ers, Bills, and Steelers... all with very good defenses. But if they set the record after facing the slate of defenses it will be much deserved.

Edited by diamondbull424
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11 hours ago, diamondbull424 said:

This is incorrect. The NFL switched to a 16 game format for the first time that season. That team thus averaged 197.8 yards/game.

https://www.patriots.com/news/a-record-in-no-rush-to-be-broken-268786

The Ravens are currently averaging 210.5 yards per game. The team to get over 3000 yards rushing with over a 200 yards per game average were the 1973 Bills. They average 220.5 yards/game in a 14 game season. No team in NFL history has ever averaged over 200 rushing yards in a 16 game season, likely because sustaining that type of explosive rushing pace is incredibly difficult to do. Multiple teams that averaged over 200 rushing yards prior to 1978, could not achieve the same result afterwards.

For the Ravens they are currently on pace, but it will be a difficult task as they still have games against the 49ers, Bills, and Steelers... all with very good defenses. But if they set the record after facing the slate of defenses it will be much deserved.

Yeah, I don't think they'll get it (just like I don't think we'll get the Ravens points diff record) but that shouldn't diminish anything from how impressive it is, and will be.

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Dak is 20-3 when Zeke runs for 100+

Dak is 25-4 when Zeke runs for 90+

Dak is 30-7 when Zeke runs for 80+

 

Dak is 8-15 when Zeke does not run for 80+

Dak is 13-18 when Zeke does not run for 90+

Dak is 18-19 when Zeke does not run for 100+

 

Dak is a trailer

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Teams Dallas beat this year

  • 2-9 Giants
  • 2-9 Giants
  • 2-9 DC
  • 2-9 Dolphins
  • 3-8-1 Lions
  • 5-6 Eagles

Strength of Victory :  16-50-1 .246

 

Teams the Patriots beat this year:

  • 2-9 Dolphins
  • 2-9 DC
  • 2-9 Giants
  • 4-7 Jets
  • 4-7 Jets
  • 5-6 Eagles
  • 5-6 Browns
  • 6-6 Cowboys
  • 6-5 Steelers
  • 9-3 Bills

Strength of Victory:   45-68 .398  (3 good teams and 2 door mats left)

 

Teams the Ravens beat this year

  • 0-11 Bengals
  • 0-11 Bengals
  • 2-9 Dolphins
  • 3-7-1 Cardinals
  • 6-5 Steelers
  • 6-5 Rams
  • 7-4 Texans
  • 9-2 Seahawks
  • 10-1 Patriots

Strength of Victory 43-55-1  .439  (big bump if they beat SF and Buffalo)

 

Teams the Eagles beat this year

  • 9-3 Bills
  • 8-3 Packers
  • 6-6 Bears
  • 4-7 Jets
  • 2-9 DC

Strength of Victory  29-28  .509  (this will tank as they face NYG 2x, Miami, and DC)

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43 minutes ago, SkippyX said:

Dak is 20-3 when Zeke runs for 100+

Dak is 25-4 when Zeke runs for 90+

Dak is 30-7 when Zeke runs for 80+

 

Dak is 8-15 when Zeke does not run for 80+

Dak is 13-18 when Zeke does not run for 90+

Dak is 18-19 when Zeke does not run for 100+

 

Dak is a trailer

This stat makes no sense. Running for 90+ is the same as not running for 100 no?

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1 hour ago, bucsfan333 said:

 

Dang. And the Rams, with their 19 individual rushing days of 100+ yards (ranked 5th out of the 32 NFL teams), are the only team in the top 10 that have had every single one of their 100+ yard rushing efforts since 2015 from the same player (Todd Gurley). 

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2 hours ago, SkippyX said:

Dak is 20-3 when Zeke runs for 100+

Dak is 25-4 when Zeke runs for 90+

Dak is 30-7 when Zeke runs for 80+

 

Dak is 8-15 when Zeke does not run for 80+

Dak is 13-18 when Zeke does not run for 90+

Dak is 18-19 when Zeke does not run for 100+

 

Dak is a trailer

But this doesn't account for which is cause and which is effect. It could easily be that they run more when already ahead so naturally Zeke will have more rush yards in games they are leading and you are more likely to win games when you've had a lead.

So is the score the cause and Zeke's yards the effect? Or vice versa?

This also, of course, doesn't account for just offense but defense as well. You could can score a lot in a loss and a little in a win.

For the record I do think Zeke is more the driver of how good the Cowboys' offense is on a given day, but these type of stats don't really prove that.

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1 hour ago, iothar said:

This stat makes no sense. Running for 90+ is the same as not running for 100 no?

No. Those games are included, but so are games where he runs for 10. Those stats the + literally means or more, not a range of 90-99 for example

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6 hours ago, SkippyX said:

Dak is 20-3 when Zeke runs for 100+

Dak is 25-4 when Zeke runs for 90+

Dak is 30-7 when Zeke runs for 80+

 

Dak is 8-15 when Zeke does not run for 80+

Dak is 13-18 when Zeke does not run for 90+

Dak is 18-19 when Zeke does not run for 100+

 

Dak is a trailer

You still dont understand how to interpret stats. Which is amazing, because nearly all your post are simply box scout scoring. 

Try doing the inverse. Look up how well Zeke does for different levels of Daks performance.

The look up team wins for Daks level of performance.

Then realize that no RB is good enough to make a bad QB look good. Never in the history of the NFL.

Edited by Matts4313
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