SmittyBacall Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 27 minutes ago, Titans_Matt said: This makes me want to lean Lamar Jackson under 192.5 passing yards with weather conditions like that. He has only hit that mark 3 times this year, two of the times were weeks 1 and 2. He has gone under that mark 5 of the last 6 games, and only threw for 107 in the last game. However, he threw for 275 last time he played the Browns, and as you said Ward is out. Hmmmm...... Not a bad bet. The only thing deterring me from that is Cleveland’s horribly undermanned secondary at the moment. I’m on Lamar Jackson’s rushing attempts over 10.5. He’s eclipsed that make in the last 5 games. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
indifference Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 got under 46 for this browns ravens game Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaveOurSonics Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Couple of small money props to keep it interesting: • Kareem Hunt O2.5 receptions - He was targeted 6 times when these teams last met and with 16mph winds I’d expect a high volume of short passes. • Donovan Peoples-Jones U22.5 receiving yards - He’s caught a pass in 3 games this year, with all 3 games coming against bottom 10 pass defenses. He’s also been a bit of a deep ball specialist, and with the aforementioned wind, I expect that to be taken away a bit. Also feels like a big game to trust a 5th round rookie too much. • Willie Snead > Rashard Higgins receptions - Snead has seen at least 7 targets in 3 of the past 4 games, whereas Higgins has seen less than 5 targets in 5 of the last 6 games. Higgins now squares off against the best CBs he’s seen during that stretch whereas Snead gets a soft Browns defense up the middle. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
indifference Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 9:37 AM, indifference said: Not buying the Browns hype especially knowing Baker Mayfield history against trying to pass on the Ravens. I’ve legit never seen him have a good game and without Odell? Yeah, good luck bud. Ravens -2.5 is a steal. They are more talented on the defensive side of ball thus more prone to create turnovers. I love em Colts -2 also is a good deal. Colts OL should dominate the Raiders DL upfront. Not sure why that line is so low but I think IND has enough on the Defensive side of the ball to win by at least a possession or 2. Great linebacking core, good secondary and good DL. It’ll be tough sledding try to run on them with Jacobs status up in the air. Steelers +2 Always felt like Tomlin teams play down to their competition. That happened last week but I can’t see them doing that vs the Bills. Those are my straights this week. Was completely off on the Steelers game but man that Ravens winning like that made me feel so much better to cover. 2-1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Broncofan Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 Lost the Snead prop by 2 yards - and somehow, I don't think it's going to be the worst beat story tonight lol. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El Ramster Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 @N4L @Broncofan RAVENS CAME THRU.. thoughts on this Parlay. 200$ bank roll on a roll.. Or should I pull the parlay and and cash out my 1564. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malfatron Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 (edited) seems too expensive for an 8 team parlay in terms of money spent vs potential winnings Edited December 15, 2020 by Malfatron 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainmaker90 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 What a cover last night ! I had Ravens ML so the safety wasn’t needed for me. really liking LAC getting 3 at LV Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Broncofan Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 (edited) 6 hours ago, El Ramster said: @N4L @Broncofan RAVENS CAME THRU.. thoughts on this Parlay. 200$ bank roll on a roll.. Or should I pull the parlay and and cash out my 1564. Mia is missing everyone on O. Gaskin Covid positive, Gesicki out (shoulder) and Parker leg. I’m more on NE TBH. I’d be ok with every other play but that drops your value significantly. Edited December 15, 2020 by Broncofan 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmittyBacall Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 13 minutes ago, Broncofan said: Mia is missing everyone on O. Gaskin Covid positive, Gesicki out (shoulder) and Parker leg. I’d be ok with every other play but that drops your value significantly. How do we feel about the under for BUF @ DEN? Currently sitting at 50, which seems a tad high to me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Broncofan Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 (edited) Early thoughts on week 15: LAC +3.5 - won’t touch ML with Lynn as coach in single bets but love getting pts vs. LV D. Anyone but Lynn as HC I’d take the ML. BUF -6 - Den O struggles badly vs. good pass D. Allen vs. our secondary should be ugly. NE +2.5 - matchup issues with all of MIA best players on O hurt. And the one way you beat that D - elite power run game. I know the MIA - NE Dec narrative but the injuries and run game matchup really turns this game on its head. SF -2.5 - another bad matchup on both sides of the ball. Power run game and Ayiuk vs. DAL D. On D they do just enough vs. Dalton & co. Zeke hurting / less motivated (both?) definitely factors in. KC -4 - you give me less than 6 with Mahomes I’m hard pressed to pass that up. NO O much easier to defend as Taysom film gives clear ways for D to confuse him. PHI +6 - Hurts is still limited but now that they are leaning on run game it shortens game. Plus if there’s a D that knows to handle speed QB’s - PHI should be able to deal with a limited Kyler. Not ready to call a PHI W but give me the 6 and a 1-score game I’ll take my chances it’s less than a TD gap. 2 conditional games: TAM -6 - if Julio doesn’t play the ATL O struggles mightily. I’ll wait to see how he does for Fri practice then jump in. IND -7 - if Cooks misses this game Watson has no speed weapons. Plus Taylor has now been unleashed. Would have been a 10+ pt W in Indy 2 weeks ago had they used Taylor over Wilkins and 70+ percent of touches. If Cooks still out I’m all over this. Edited December 15, 2020 by Broncofan 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Broncofan Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 (edited) 18 minutes ago, SmittyBacall said: How do we feel about the under for BUF @ DEN? Currently sitting at 50, which seems a tad high to me. I’d lean under. But I just hate taking unders in Mile High and against high octane O’s. Every drive that goes past the 40 usually at least 3 in the bank. Den was an under machine vs. O’s in 2019 because our O sucked and D underrated. The O still struggles but our secondary decimated. Bad mix vs. BUF O imo. Edited December 15, 2020 by Broncofan 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeT14 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 My conditional is Seattle right now if Dwayne starts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El Ramster Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 39 minutes ago, MikeT14 said: My conditional is Seattle right now if Dwayne starts I think Seattle wins.. This is a game on paper they should lose.. But WASH is due a L.. They have to cool down. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainmaker90 Posted December 15, 2020 Share Posted December 15, 2020 40 minutes ago, MikeT14 said: My conditional is Seattle right now if Dwayne starts Is that likely to happen? I didn't know Smith got hurt. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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