MacReady Posted October 31, 2018 Share Posted October 31, 2018 Just now, Shanedorf said: During the season I keep an eye on the SB odds as teams move up and down. You can find it in any number of places, the one I use is VegasInsider and their adds are a reflection of several different books http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/futures/ What were our odds at this point in 2010? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBURGE Posted October 31, 2018 Share Posted October 31, 2018 11 minutes ago, Shanedorf said: During the season I keep an eye on the SB odds as teams move up and down. You can find it in any number of places, the one I use is VegasInsider and their adds are a reflection of several different books http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/futures/ GB has been as high as 10-1 to win the SB this season ( preseason). Since then they've moved down the list and have been 12:1, 14:1, 18:1, 25:1 and last week prior to the Rams game they were sitting at 33:1 Today the Mighty Green Bay Packers are sitting at 40:1 to win the SB and that's one of the highest ever since AR went under center. Its a function of the Packers team play, how they are viewed around the league and the high quality of the NFC in general. Worse odds than the Bears and Seahawks... ouch Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheOnlyThing Posted October 31, 2018 Share Posted October 31, 2018 25 minutes ago, Shanedorf said: During the season I keep an eye on the SB odds as teams move up and down. You can find it in any number of places, the one I use is VegasInsider and their adds are a reflection of several different books http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/futures/ GB has been as high as 10-1 to win the SB this season ( preseason). Since then they've moved down the list and have been 12:1, 14:1, 18:1, 25:1 and last week prior to the Rams game they were sitting at 33:1 Today the Mighty Green Bay Packers are sitting at 40:1 to win the SB and that's one of the highest ever since AR went under center. Its a function of the Packers team play, how they are viewed around the league and the high quality of the NFC in general. Given the "odds" below, a win on Sunday is imperative. According to @FiveThirtyEight, the #Packers have a(n): 18% chance of making the playoffs 12% chance of winning the NFC North <1% chance of a first-round bye <1% chance of winning the Super Bowl Final record: 7.5-8.5 https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-nfl-predictions/?ex_cid=rrpromo … Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lodestar Posted October 31, 2018 Share Posted October 31, 2018 1 minute ago, TheOnlyThing said: Given the "odds" below, a win on Sunday is imperative. According to @FiveThirtyEight, the #Packers have a(n): 18% chance of making the playoffs 12% chance of winning the NFC North <1% chance of a first-round bye <1% chance of winning the Super Bowl Final record: 7.5-8.5 https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-nfl-predictions/?ex_cid=rrpromo … I am a big fan of Nate Silver usually, but this year's NFL model is highly based on last year's standings. From the beginning of the year they've had GB projected to go like 7-9. Maybe that ends up coming true, but I feel like the model should take into consideration that we have Aaron Rodgers at QB, not Brett Hundley. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shanedorf Posted October 31, 2018 Share Posted October 31, 2018 Just now, Lodestar said: I feel like the model should take into consideration that we have Aaron Rodgers at QB, not Brett Hundley. In the ELO model that 538 uses, that doesn't matter. In the real world it does. Their model will improve over the course of the season, but it's still flawed Remember: "All models are wrong... Some of them are useful" 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green machine Posted October 31, 2018 Share Posted October 31, 2018 Packers sign RB Tra Carson off practice squad, leaving 1 open spot. https://www.packers.com/news/packers-sign-rb-tra-carson-to-active-roster-rb-lavon-coleman-to-practice-squad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Fussnputz Posted October 31, 2018 Share Posted October 31, 2018 1 hour ago, green machine said: Packers sign RB Tra Carson off practice squad, leaving 1 open spot. https://www.packers.com/news/packers-sign-rb-tra-carson-to-active-roster-rb-lavon-coleman-to-practice-squad Does he return kickoffs? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leader Posted November 1, 2018 Author Share Posted November 1, 2018 Answer: Jaire, MVS, Fackrell, EQ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shanedorf Posted November 1, 2018 Share Posted November 1, 2018 Time is running out on the designated- to- return option for 2018. They have to sit for 8-10 weeks before they can come back and that's about how much time is left in the regular season Gute says GB will be at 53 this week, so that suggests they will use one of their 2 bullets on Trevor Davis and keep the other one on hold a wee bit longer Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
{Family Ghost} Posted November 1, 2018 Share Posted November 1, 2018 (edited) 7 minutes ago, Shanedorf said: Time is running out on the designated- to- return option for 2018. They have to sit for 8-10 weeks before they can come back and that's about how much time is left in the regular season Gute says GB will be at 53 this week, so that suggests they will use one of their 2 bullets on Trevor Davis and keep the other one on hold a wee bit longer Didn't they use one to bring up the practice squad running back? Nevermind .. I read your post wrong. Edited November 1, 2018 by {Family Ghost} Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leader Posted November 2, 2018 Author Share Posted November 2, 2018 I think we got a steal. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighCalebR Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 Want to post the gif where he knocked Kelvin TF out? I'm fine with the trade, I think it was fair for both sides. He definitely still was our best coverage safety, hopefully Tramon can fill in nicely back there. Pettine likes a little more specialized safeties unlike Capers. HaHa wasn't coming back and compensation for safeties is poor, so the trade was the best route. Why people gotta act like haha belongs on special teams? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThatJerkDave Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 9 hours ago, Shanedorf said: Time is running out on the designated- to- return option for 2018. They have to sit for 8-10 weeks before they can come back and that's about how much time is left in the regular season Gute says GB will be at 53 this week, so that suggests they will use one of their 2 bullets on Trevor Davis and keep the other one on hold a wee bit longer 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexGreen#20 Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 (edited) 1 hour ago, Leader said: I think we got a steal. Bad play, sure, but you're isoing him up against the best RB in the league in the open field with a head of steam. You've got bigger problems here than HaHa. Let's talk about Blake Martinez and the importance of not getting reached. Then let's talk about Blake Martinez and going upfield when you get reached. Edited November 2, 2018 by AlexGreen#20 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cakeshoppe Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 11 hours ago, Shanedorf said: Time is running out on the designated- to- return option for 2018. They have to sit for 8-10 weeks before they can come back and that's about how much time is left in the regular season Gute says GB will be at 53 this week, so that suggests they will use one of their 2 bullets on Trevor Davis and keep the other one on hold a wee bit longer I think the only IR players able/eligible to return are House, Davis, and Kumerow. (Wilkerson and Ryan are done for the year and I think Murphy was placed on IR at cutdowns, making him ineligible to return) House would have to wait until week 12 I think, and I don't think I see a need for Kumerow with the way the rookie receivers have been playing. With Montgomery gone Davis would make sense. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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