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2019 MLB Regular Season Discussion


Thelonebillsfan

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2 hours ago, Dingo18287 said:

Some talk that Mickey Calloway might not make it thru the weekend. 

Yeah. The NY Post is sensing blood in the water....

"The 2019 Mets are more about the culture of Wilpon ownership and a roster forged by Brodie Van Wagenen — first as an agent, now as the general manager — than the managing of Mickey Callaway. But the terms of engagement for this team have been understood for months. Neither the old owners nor the new GM were going anywhere. If the time came to try to defibrillate the clubhouse or change the narrative or provide a human shield for those most responsible, Callaway was being set up to be the fall guy......"

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Madbum is seriously going to have no real value at the deadline. Whomever acquires him is essentially doing so with the hope that he's going to click and do madbum things in the postseason. 

The important trades for the Giants are no doubt going to be the reliever deals

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since relief pitchers are so prominent, they should create an ERA variation that weighs for runners LOB by which base you leave them on. 

A runner from third who scores would count .75 for the pitcher who left him on and .25 to the guy who inherited him. Second base would be 50/50 etc 

Would be a more accurate way to measure ERA, or your 'true era' 

 

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5 minutes ago, N4L said:

since relief pitchers are so prominent, they should create an ERA variation that weighs for runners LOB by which base you leave them on. 

A runner from third who scores would count .75 for the pitcher who left him on and .25 to the guy who inherited him. Second base would be 50/50 etc 

Would be a more accurate way to measure ERA, or your 'true era' 

 

And how much do you add when a relief pitcher comes in with runners on second and third, no outs and gets out of the inning giving up nothing?

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37 minutes ago, Forge said:

And how much do you add when a relief pitcher comes in with runners on second and third, no outs and gets out of the inning giving up nothing?

For every out you get with runners on, you get the inverse of their weighted value divided by 3 factored in as a negative, but only if that runner doesn't score 

So every out you get with a runner on third counts as (negative) -.75/3 earned runs, but only if he doesn't end up scoring. If he scores then it counts .25 against his ERA and .75 against the pitcher who left him on, regardless of how many outs there were when the second pitcher inherited the runner. 

Inheriting 2nd and 3rd with one out and getting out of it would be ((-.75/3)*2) + ((-.50/3)*2) 

If the runner on third scores on a sac fly and then the guy on second doesn't score, it would be .25 + ((-.50/3)*2) which would equal -.083 

Let's call it tERA 

Edit: the only problem is that if the reliever goes out and has a scoreless second and posts a 0 tERA score, that would somehow make his tERA go closer to 0 and therefore be less negative. There would need to be a way to incorporate it into the old fashioned ERA forumla 

Edited by N4L
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Walden is something else. He's been a good find. First time Sale has unintentionally walked a batter two times in a row since 2015.

Just hope we don't throw Brasier in there or Workman. I think we have the 2nd worst bullpen in the league, only better than the Chi Sox

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