Coronavirus (COVID-19)

[Glen]

2 minutes ago, mission27 said:

Immensely 

I hope for your sake that’s true

[vikesfan89]

3 hours ago, rob_shadows said:

https://news.yahoo.com/sunlight-destroys-coronavirus-very-quickly-new-government-tests-find-but-experts-say-pandemic-could-still-last-through-summer-200745675.html

Hmm....

Problem is is that everyone is locked inside.

The MN governor let up on some outside restrictions at least

[TLO]

19 minutes ago, Glen said:

I hope for your sake that’s true

A life isn’t lived until you’ve completed the nobu/Phoenix/norms trifecta. I pray for your sake that you are able to do so one day. 

[pwny]

1 hour ago, TVScout said:

Cooking the books:

 

 

Or did the cancer rate just fall by 2/3?

Love to trust charts made by random anti-vax twitter accounts without bothering to verify the data.

The person who created it has admitted that they didn't actually check current year data, but instead created it based on completely misinterpreting a quote from a doctor who said that the total death rate in NY increased in NY by 3,000 over what one would typically expect in a month, but was referencing that of deaths not associated with COVID-19.

Edited April 18, 2020 by pwny

[Glen]

5 minutes ago, pwny said:

Love to trust charts made by random anti-vax twitter accounts without bothering to verify the data.

The person who created it has admitted that they didn't actually check previous year data, but instead created it based on a quote from a random doctor who said that the total death rate in NY increased in NY by 3,000 over what one would typically expect in a month, based on nothing but a guess.

 

Like I said

many layers

[bucsfan333]

2 minutes ago, Glen said:

Like I said

many layers

Like a Shrek.

[theJ]

Anyone notice how everyone says we're getting through this together, but we're actually getting through it apart?

[bucsfan333]

4 minutes ago, theJ said:

Anyone notice how everyone says we're getting through this together, but we're actually getting through it apart?

[mission27]

42 minutes ago, Glen said:

I hope for your sake that’s true

What else can you ask for

Expensive cars cheap booze and loose women

Edited April 18, 2020 by mission27

[pwny]

This is the person who made that chart. Note that her current year data isn’t based on actual data, it’s based on that quote and that quote alone.

 

But if one actually looks at the article she references:

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/14/nyregion/new-york-coronavirus-deaths.html

You see that the doctor is explicitly referencing that *OUTSIDE OF CORONAVIRUS CONNECTED DEATHS* there are 3,000 additional deaths. 

[mission27]

A quick note today, everyone is STRONGLY encouraged to join MoL's coronavirus mafia which will be both entertaining and educational.  Ty.

4/17/2020 MoL Scores:

Methodology and disclaimer: MoL score is a simple metric for measuring rate of spread of the novel coronavirus within communities.  The metric was developed by mission and TLO and has not been subjected to academic peer review.  The MoL looks at a trailing average of daily new cases and compares this to trailing active cases within the community.  These rankings do not represent the opinion of anyone other than mission and TLO and should not be taken as advice of any kind.  Please note while the numbers themselves are objective calculations, smugness and Taylor Swift lyrics may factor into our commentary and decisions on tiers.  The MoL reserves the right to make changes to this methodology at any time.  Please follow all relevant governmental and/or WHO/CDC guidance.  We will defeat this virus.

"'So it's gonna be forever
Or it's gonna go down in flames
You can tell me when it's over
If the high was worth the pain"

- Taylor Swift

Today, the MoL continues to gloat about our enemies getting banned and a lot of countries stagnate but the USA gets guidelines

Tier 1: Outbreak under control, safe to begin relaxing social distancing measures

Hong Kong: 0.5 (6 straight days of single digits cases, fun)

South Korea: 0.8 (an all-time low for South Korea)

Australia: 1.5 

Austria: 2.0

Czech Republic: 2.1

Switzerland: 2.9 

Tier 2: New case growth is minimal suggesting social distancing is working, likely a few weeks away from breaking into tier 1

Portugal: 3.1

Italy: 3.1 (Italy getting very close to Tier 1, let me tell you)

Israel: 3.9

Germany: 4.2

Netherlands: 4.3

Denmark: 4.8 

Spain: 5.5 (numbers are a roller coaster ride but I have faith)

Sweden: 5.9

USA: 5.8 (holding steady)

Philippines: 5.9

Global: 6.1

Belgium: 6.6

Iran: 6.7* (consistently bs numbers, tbh)

UK: 6.7 

Japan: 7.4 (Japan headed back in the right direction for sure now)

Turkey: 8.3 (Turkey gets into Tier 2 with a big slow down)

France: 8.7 

Canada: 9.1 (Canada continues to be headed in the wrong direction despite repeatedly talking **** about the US, wow)

China: 9.3 (idk if these numbers are related to Wuhan restatements or what?)

Ireland: 9.3

Tier 3: Countries in this group that are showing increased MoLs have the potential to go deep into the danger zones, but countries with falling MoLs may only be a couple of days from tier 2 status and may have already peaked in gross # of new casesBrazil: 11.1

India: 13.2

Mexico: 19.1

Tier 4: Aggressive growth, still likely have not peaked in single day cases, and likely a week or two minimum from peak in deaths (however many of these countries are still slowing down)

Russia: 22.6 (not looking good tbh)

USA State Level MoLs

So South Dakota does finally seem to be headed in the right direction, albeit still way too high.  Texas, which is talking about loosening guidelines, is still a bit high for my liking.  New York holding steady.  Pattern in US data suggests we'll see a big improvement Sunday and Monday, because of timing of reporting over the weekend, that tends to wash out in MoLs over hte following 5 days.

The MoL would like to thank everyone for their contributions to this important work including @ET80 @acowboys62 @dtait93 @Dome @naptownskinsfan @kingseanjohn @Malfatron @Shady Slim @malagabears @daboyle250 @vikesfan89 @ramssuperbowl99 @sdrawkcab321 @Nazgul @kingseanjohn @mistakey @TwoUpTwoDown @Xenos @Nex_Gen @FinneasGage and the others who love us so much

We'd even like to thank @pwny @Glen and others for their critical attitude because of the attention it brings to the great work MoL is doing 

@TLO

[mistakey]

1 hour ago, mission27 said:

I read the part of the article that said "MoL are beautiful geniuses and mbtl is bitter about being wrong" tbh

Ah so you didnt read any of the article

[vikesfan89]

Damn MN broke 2000 cases

[Xenos]

Interesting article about why the Covid 19 numbers seem flat. Are cases really declining?

https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2020/04/us-coronavirus-outbreak-out-control-test-positivity-rate/610132/

Quote

The high positivity rate also suggests that new cases in the U.S. have plateaued only because the country has hit a ceiling in its testing capacity. Looking solely at positives, the U.S. is steaming toward 650,000 confirmed cases, but the number of new cases per day appears to be plateauing or even declining.

There are several ways to interpret this development. It might suggest, for instance, that the more than 3.2 million tests completed in the U.S. over the past two months have finally captured a good chunk of the people who are actually infected. While it’s clear that the country is not capturing every case, this decline in new positive cases might suggest the country has started to get the virus’s spread under control.

 

But there is another way to interpret the decline in new cases: The growth in the number of new tests completed per day has also plateaued. Since April 1, the country has tested roughly 145,000 people every day with no steady upward trajectory. The growth in the number of new cases per day, and the growth in the number of new tests per day, are very tightly correlated.

This tight correlation suggests that if the United States were testing more people, we would probably still be seeing an increase in the number of COVID-19 cases. And combined with the high test-positivity rate, it suggests that the reservoir of unknown, uncounted cases of COVID-19 across the country is still very large.

 

[pwny]

I fixed that chart to actually say what has been reported.