Coronavirus (COVID-19)

[mission27]

5/25/2020 MoL Scores:

Methodology and disclaimer: MoL score is a simple metric for measuring rate of spread of the novel coronavirus within communities.  The metric was developed by mission and TLO and has not been subjected to academic peer review.  The MoL looks at a trailing average of daily new cases and compares this to trailing active cases within the community.  These rankings do not represent the opinion of anyone other than mission and TLO and should not be taken as advice of any kind.  Please note while the numbers themselves are objective calculations, smugness and Taylor Swift lyrics may factor into our commentary and decisions on tiers.  The MoL reserves the right to make changes to this methodology at any time.  Please follow all relevant governmental and/or WHO/CDC guidance.  We will defeat this virus.

"Turns out freedom ain't nothing but missing you"

- Taylor Swift

Today the MoL was yet again attacked but live to fight another day.

Tier 1: Outbreak under control, safe to begin relaxing social distancing measures

Tier 1 countries are pretty,... pretty... pretty good

How to safely open up in Tier 1? Take a look at the MoL method for proper easing, otherwise known as the MoL public health cost benefit matrix.

Israel: 0.4

Netherlands: 0.4

France: 0.5

Belgium: 0.8

Italy: 0.9

UK: 0.9

Japan: 1.0

Portugal: 1.0

Spain: 1.2

New Zealand: 1.3

Australia: 1.5

Switzerland: 1.9

USA: 2.0

South Korea: 2.2

Czech Republic: 2.2

Sweden: 2.3

Philippines: 2.5

Ireland: 2.2

Singapore: 2.8

Global: 3.0

Turkey: 3.0

Germany: 3.4

Austria: 3.8

Hong Kong: 5.3

China: 5.4

Tier 2: New case growth is minimal suggesting social distancing is working, likely a few weeks away from breaking into tier 1

Tier 2 countries aren't  doing as well as Tier 1 countries, but eh, we'll give 'em a pass, why not!  Especially since Larry doesn't want to get fatwahed again.

Canada: 3.3 (new all time low, we may be pretty close to moving them into tier 1)

Russia: 4.1

Denmark: 5.3 (Denmark is inflated because they close cases too quickly, we may need to move them into tier 1 before they hit the 3.0 mark)

Tier 3: Countries in this group that are showing increased MoLs have the potential to go deep into the danger zones, but countries with falling MoLs may only be a couple of days from tier 2 status and may have already peaked in gross # of new cases

These countries could really do a lot better if they followed common decency standards, like washing their hands or respecting wood 

India: 11.0

Iran: 11.0

Brazil: 12.6

Tier 4: Aggressive growth, still likely have not peaked in single day cases, and likely a week or two minimum from peak in deaths (however many of these countries are still slowing down)

We feel very bad for the last Tier 4 country remaining on our list, the Mexico.  Its like that time Funkhauser became an orphan at 60 (RIP Funkhauser).

Mexico: 25.9

USA State Level MoLs

Maryland cracks tier 1, but Virginia moves in the wrong direction with their worst day yet.  Hmmmm.  Interesting to see Louisiana struggling the last couple of days after seeming to have things under control, we will investigate.  May be testing. 

MoL Deaths

Deaths are now 49% below the peak, so about half what they were on April 21st.  Lowest number of deaths since March.  Nice job. 

Canada

Great job @JBURGE... NOT. Great job Quebec though.  Show those Ontario mounties how its done.

The MoL would like to thank everyone for their contributions to this important work including @ET80 @acowboys62 @dtait93 @Dome @naptownskinsfan @kingseanjohn @Malfatron @Shady Slim @malagabears @daboyle250 @vikesfan89 @ramssuperbowl99 @sdrawkcab321 @Nazgul @kingseanjohn  @TwoUpTwoDown @Xenos @Nex_Gen @FinneasGage @TVScout @seriously27 @N4L and the others who love us so much

We'd even like to thank @pwny @Glen and others for their critical attitude because of the attention it brings to the great work MoL is doing 

@TLO

The message of this gif is that the MoL is signing out until tomorrow (although we reserve the right to **** on anyone who questions our authority on these matters)

[Mesa_Titan]

2 hours ago, theJ said:

I think it's a good sign that all the restrictions we've placed on ourselves weren't 100% necessary. Not to say that we shouldn't have done them, but that some people acting like bozos doesn't doom us all. 

Could also be a bad thing for the future, because I'd bet a lot of money if something like this happens again, most of the country wont follow it.

[vikesfan89]

4 minutes ago, Mesa_Titan said:

Could also be a bad thing for the future, because I'd bet a lot of money if something like this happens again, most of the country wont follow it.

I'm more worried about then trying to shut things down every time there is talk about a new virus

[Mesa_Titan]

Just now, vikesfan89 said:

I'm more worried about then trying to shut things down every time there is talk about a new virus

So am I. The bad part I was talking about is if something actually really serious comes around that we need to quarantine for, they've now possibly ruined that unless it takes 10 or so years for something like that.

[mission27]

9 minutes ago, Mesa_Titan said:

So am I. The bad part I was talking about is if something actually really serious comes around that we need to quarantine for, they've now possibly ruined that unless it takes 10 or so years for something like that.

Tbh lets hope this is the most serious pandemic of our lives, but yeah, something worse I could see people refusing to comply next time around

[naptownskinsfan]

23 minutes ago, mission27 said:

Tbh lets hope this is the most serious pandemic of our lives, but yeah, something worse I could see people refusing to comply next time around

It will take a couple decades before people will comply in my opinion.  I really hope that this is the worst things will get.  God forbid we ever get anywhere close to the Cold War again. 

[mission27]

7 minutes ago, naptownskinsfan said:

It will take a couple decades before people will comply in my opinion.  I really hope that this is the worst things will get.  God forbid we ever get anywhere close to the Cold War again. 

Pretty sure we're already in a second cold war tbhwy

[TLO]

1 hour ago, mission27 said:

Tbh lets hope this is the most serious pandemic of our lives, but yeah, something worse I could see people refusing to comply next time around

I mean once the MoL is president/VP, the country will be able to handle anything tbh

[Leader]

8 hours ago, mission27 said:

Tbh lets hope this is the most serious pandemic of our lives, but yeah, something worse I could see people refusing to comply next time around

Just tuned in and not sure if the line of thinking here is a second wave of COVID19 or an entirely new germ/pandemic.

If it's the latter - I offer that the deaths will determine the response.

In a very real sense the COVID19 response was tailored by people gauging how close they were to the victims list and weighed that against their sense of personal freedoms, aggrievement (real or forced) towards positions of authority, experts, etc. 

If people are dropping like flies on a broader scale....people will pay attention.

Edited May 26, 2020 by Leader

[Ty21]

9 hours ago, mission27 said:

tbhwy

Dang, you added a “with you” to that initialism? Very innovative 

[WizeGuy]

Italian Virologist Arnoldo Caruso observed a much weaker strain in an Asymptomatic patient with a high viral load. The source is in Italian, but here's the Reddit thread:

Obviously I'll take this with a grain of salt. There's not even a scientific paper yet, though one is supposedly on the way. Still, mildly interesting stuff.

[mission27]

1 hour ago, WizeGuy said:

Italian Virologist Arnoldo Caruso observed a much weaker strain in an Asymptomatic patient with a high viral load. The source is in Italian, but here's the Reddit thread:

Obviously I'll take this with a grain of salt. There's not even a scientific paper yet, though one is supposedly on the way. Still, mildly interesting stuff.

Interesting, wonder if similar stuff is happening elsewhere tbh

[mission27]

1 hour ago, Tyty said:

Dang, you added a “with you” to that initialism? Very innovative 

Gotta keep pushing the envelope tbhwy

[mission27]

Virginia is a **** show.  Lot more testing though which is good news.

[naptownskinsfan]

Dow and S&P 500 surged to their highest levels since March, and the Nasdaq hit it's highest point since February.  

I just checked the statement on my primary investment portfolio, and despite taking some money out while I was off work, it has gained back what I lost during the downturn in just a month's time.